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0x40F30bA

0x78c709...21f8e6@billshiou
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
61.7%
Total P&L
+$16.7K
Trade Count
142
Sharpe Ratio
1.05
Sortino Ratio
2.62
Max Drawdown
175.0%
ROI
18.2%
Profit Factor
1.56
Kelly Fraction
0.222
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢5.6Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ETBUY50.0¢3,083Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ETBUY50.0¢9,210Mar 5
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5BUY47.0¢4,292Mar 4
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5BUY47.0¢1,861Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 8AM ETBUY49.0¢6,488Mar 4
Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY49.0¢3,174Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL99.8¢6Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.8¢6Mar 3
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 8AM ETBUY50.0¢768Mar 3
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 8AM ETBUY50.0¢5,649Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL79.0¢5.4Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY78.9¢5.4Mar 1
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 108.5BUY50.0¢1,194Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL97.4¢5.87Feb 24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY97.6¢5.87Feb 24
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL95.7¢0.09Feb 21
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL95.7¢6.11Feb 21
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY95.8¢6.2Feb 21
Discord IPO before 2027?SELL92.6¢5.6Feb 14

Analytics

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Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.17
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.4%
Win Consistency30.5%
Profit Factor0.55
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity142 trades · 40 active days
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